Domino Theory in the case of Burma.

In past few days, I was thinking to make new post regarding Burma’s current situation. But I was distracted somehow by some factors. For instance, I would not be very happy if I am going to be called as an insane foreteller or something like that. Indeed, I don’t like current situation. Before I discuss further more, I would like to say that all of the following discussions are merely my personal opinions, which have no single intention to harm or to insult anyone.

Things began, when SPDC officially raised gas rates. It was such a hit. General Public, especially in urban areas, was shocked. Rising of gas rates, obviously, means no guarantee on consumer products. There is no other option, but to strike. But, how? The time had come for 88 Generation to play a lead, and they did. However, there might be a plot that we have been neglecting all the time.

Why did SPDC raise the fuel rates, without unknowingly that there would be uprisings or at least minor strikes? On August 24, 2007, youth leaders from National League for Democracy and major leaders from 88 Generation led new form of demonstration in Rangoon (Yangon). The first demonstration was simply aimed for super-high fuel rates, and to manage basic consumer products to remain in modest prices.

As arranged, all protests were crushed and some leaders were detained. Fuel rates, protests, and detention of 88 Generation leaders drew gigantic attention to people from both inside and outside of Burma. Even pro-democratic organizations called for general strike. In fact, all of us forgot one big shot, the National Convention. While all focusing on protests, SPDC wrapped up the National Convention in such rush. Of course, no one had a chance to protest the final stage of 13-year-old National Convention. There might be a chance, if 88 Generations were not detained.

On the other hand, it seemed to have some minor clashes between the Central Executive Committee of National League for Democracy and other pro-democratic organizations. The CEC was even criticized for not moving along with current protests. Even NLD-Mandalay is proposing to reform CEC, in order to perform leading role in certain efficiency. It would be good; if there will be no major crack within party. However, “the other side” should be considered, too. SPDC has been trying to dismantle NLD for two decades. If NLD doesn’t stand tight, its fate apparently is on stake.

If we mull over all factors, the point is clear. SPDC is advancing in its own way, the Road Map. General Ne Win used to entertain with political puppet show. All of us were amused with his shows, while he was plotting something bigger. Things would be more difficult, if we keep walking on the way they scheme. Even for now, the way of people demanding possible democracy deviates from its origin.

Even if there must be a Turning Point, the blood shed hopefully should not be occurred anymore on Burma’s soil. May she be in peace.